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Eurozone Growth Tracker

World Economics - September 2016

Speed Read
  • Euro area economy grew at an annual rate of 2.2% in Q2 2016 compared to 1.7% in the same period last year.
  • The Eurostat Consumer Confidence Survey fell to -7.8 in August, from -10.4 the year before.
  • Retail sales registered a year-on-year increase of 2.3% in July compared to 3.6% in July 2015.
  • Total EU19 unemployment stood at 16.3 million in July, Youth unemployment of 2.97 million.


GDP Growth
Annual Real GDP 1961 – 2015: 50 Years of Declining Growth

Quarterly Real GDP Growth Q1 2008 - Q1 2016 





Leading & Composite Indicator

OECD Composite Leading Indicator
The OECD composite leading indicator® (CLI) is designed “to provide early signals of turning points between expansions and slowdowns of economic activity”. Its components include Production Orders, Finished Goods Stock, Order Books, Order Inflows, Industrial Confidence Indicator, Share Prices, Consumer Confidence Indicator, Short & Long Term Interest Rate and Share Price Spread.  




Consumer Indexes
IPSOS Consumer Confidence
The IPSOS Global @dvisor: ‘On the Economic Pulse of the World’ uses a monthly sample of over 18,000 adults worldwide (with a minimum of 1000 in each country) and a demographic weighting system to produce an accurate perception of consumers’ perspectives.  

Eurostat Consumer Confidence Indicator

The consumer component of the Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the performance of the economy. 



Consumer Demand

Real Retail Sales
Turnover for retail trade in the Eurozone is compiled as an index with a current base year of 2005.


New Car Registrations



Industrial Indexes

Eurostat Economic Sentiment Indicator
The Economic Sentiment Indicator is made up of the 15 individual components of the Eurostat confidence indicators. The largest components are Industry, Services, Consumers, Construction and Retail trade. 



Employment Indexes

The unemployment rate is represented as the number of unemployed persons in thousands.



 Industrial Production Index


 
The Eurozone Growth Tracker: Note to Users 
Use of these data should be made in the recognition that World Economics shall not have any liability for these data or bear any responsibility for any actions taken based on these data, and in no event shall be liable for damages of any sort arising from use of these data.
 
World Economics will update the monitor on a regular basis as further data becomes available.
See http://www.worldeconomics.com/EurozoneGrowthTracker for updates.


Sources

Long term GDP, Penn Data Tables & IMF

http://pwt.econ. upenn.edu/php_site/pwt70/pwt70_form.php
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2014/01/weodata/index.aspx
Short term GDP, Eurostat

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/national_accounts/data/database
OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)

http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DatasetCode=MEI_CLI

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=10

IPSOS Consumer Confidence

http://ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=15527

Eurostat Consumer Confidence Indicator

http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/db_indicators/surveys/documents/2016/fcci_2016_04_en.pdf

Real Retail Sales

http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=sts_trtu_m&lang=en

Monthly Car Sales, European Society of Automobile Manufacturers

http://www.acea.be/press-releases/article/passenger-car-registrations-8.5-over-four-months-9.1-in-april

Eurostat Economic Sentiment Indicator

http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/db_indicators/surveys/documents/2016/esi_2016_04_en.pdf

Employment Indexes

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/7244015/3-29042016-AP-EN.pdf/735afc8c-bb8e-4698-8129-860e1ce273df

Industrial Production Index

http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=sts_inpr_m&lang=en

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