1. GDP Growth

Real GDP Growth 1960 -2012
Since 1960, annual American real GDP growth has been following a falling trend year-on-year.

Year-on-year Quarterly Real GDP Growth 2008 – 2012 ($billion, 2005 chained)

2. Leading & Composite Indicators

OECD Composite Leading Indicator
The OECD Composite Leading Indicator® (CLI) is designed “to provide early signals of turning points between expansions and slowdowns of economic activity”. The components include: Dwellings started (number), Net new orders for durable goods, share prices: NYSE composite, consumer sentiment indicator, weekly hours of work: manufacturing, purchasing managers index, and the spread of interest rates.


Conference Board Leading Economic Index
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The ten components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the U.S. include: Average weekly hours, manufacturing, Average weekly initial claims for unemployment insurance; new orders, consumer goods; Index of New Orders; Manufacturers' new orders, nondefense capital goods , Building permits, new private housing units; Stock prices; Leading Credit Index Interest rate spread, 10-year Treasury bonds; Average consumer expectations.


World Economics Sales Managers’ Index
The World Economics Sales Managers’ Index provides the earliest data each month covering all US private sector economic activity.


3. Consumer Indexes

A. Consumer Confidence

IPSOS Global @dvisory Survey
Ipsos uses a monthly sample of over 18,000 adults worldwide to measure consumer perspectives on the present state of the economy as well as a 6 month outlook.


Nielsen Quarterly Consumer Confidence Survey
The Nielsen Global Online Consumer Confidence Survey, established in 2005, tracks consumer confidence, major concerns and spending intentions among more than 28,000 consumers in 56 countries.


Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) is a “barometer of the health of the U.S. economy from the perspective of the consumer”.


Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, established in 1946, tracks consumer attitudes towards the present and future through a survey of 500 randomly selected individuals across the United states.



B. Consumer Demand
Retail Sales


Car Sales

C. Employment

Nonfarm Payroll Employment
Nonfarm payroll employment is an indicator of private sector employment. It measures the total number of paid workers in the United States, excluding employees of government, private households, non-profit organisations and farms.


4. Industrial Indexes

A. Business Surveys

ISM Business Surveys


B. Industrial Production

Federal Reserve Industrial Production Index


C. Power
Total consumption is calculated through retail sales of electricity to residential, industrial and commercial customers.

Consumption

Generation

The United States Growth Monitor: Note to Users

 

Use of these data should be made in the recognition that World Economics shall not have any liability for these data or bear any responsibility for any actions taken based on these data, and in no event shall be liable for damages of any sort arising from use of these data.

World Economics will update the monitor on a regular basis as further data becomes available.

 

 

Sources

 

_{Long term GDP, Penn Data Tables}

 

_{Short term GDP, National Bureau of Statistics}

 

_{OECD CLI, OECD}

_{http://www.oecd.org/document/51/0,3746,en_2649_34349_49381363_1_1_1_1,00.html}

 

_{Conference Board LEI, Conference Board}

_{http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=11}

 

_{The Coincident Economic Activity Index, Reserve Bank of Philadelphia}

 

_{Conference Board Consumer Perception, Conference Board}

 

_{ISM Business Surveys, ISM}

 

_{World Economics Sales Managers’ Index, World Economics}

 

_{Retail & Car Sales, US Bureau of Census}

 

_{Industrial Production, Federal Reserve}

 

_{Electricity Generation, US Energy Information Administration}

 

_{Total Gasoline Sales, FHWA}

 

_{Motor Vehicle Travel, US Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration}

 

_{Real Consumer Loans, Federal Reserve}

 

_{IPSOS Consumer Assessment, IPSOS}

_{http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=11216}

 

_{Nielsen Consumer Confidence, Nielsen}

_{http://www.nielsen.com/content/corporate/global/en.html}

_{World Bank}

_{http://data.worldbank.org/}