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Thought of the Day
Rapid Economic Growth in India Throughout the First Quarter of 2024
28 March 2024
The March Survey of Indian Sales Managers reports yet another month of rapid economic growth. All growth related indexes are now reflecting strong expansion across a wide variety of business sectors.
India Business Confidence Index: March
Diffusion Index. (50 = 'No Growth')
The key Sales and Market Growth Indexes are now at 48 month highs. The Business Confidence Index showing the vital "animal spirits" factor in economic growth is burgeoning. The overall Sales Managers Index, reflecting the performance of the economy on the basis of all sub indexes, is also at a 4 year high.
And the Jobs Index, for so long reflecting business caution in recruiting after the perilous Covid period, suggests that the fear of hiring has now virtually evaporated, and businesses across a broad swathe of sectors are once again investing in people.
The only negative revealed by the survey is the uncomfortable persistence of price inflation, but this may partially be a result of price pressures caused by the very rapid expansion of economic activity.
Overall, the survey results are very good news for investors in India.
Continue reading for more analysis, charts & data. [SUBSCRIBER ONLY]
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Biden's Boom Continues to Roll Across America
All US Sales Managers Indexes rose in March, all bar one rather sharply. All are over the critical 50 no-growth line. The Business Confidence Index, the crucial "animal spirits" ingredient in economic growth is riding high at 54.6, the best reading for 26 months. The evidence presented by the March Sales Managers Survey suggests that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes hav...
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The Chinese Services Sector Continues to Grow in March
The marked difference between the Chinese Services and Manufacturing sectors performance continues to remain in evidence. Over the whole of the first quarter of 2024 the overall Manufacturing Sector Sales Managers Index remained below the crucial 50 index level, indicating declining output. In contrast the Services Sector overall Sales Managers Index remained at an average index re...
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Key Interest Rate Decisions Rely Partly on Garbage Data
Central banks the world over rely on deeply flawed data to make crucial decisions on interest rates. Few politicians, economists or bankers realise just how unreliable economic data has become in recent years. In the US the percentage of companies responding to two vital job surveys: the Bureau of Labour Statistics Non-Farm Payrolls (NFS) and Job Openings (JOLTS) has fallen dram...
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