United States Growth Tracker

The Very Latest Economic Data

Speed Read

Real gross domestic product (GDP rose at annual rate of 3.1 percent in the second quarter of 2017
Economic indicators suggest solid growth continuing in September
Retail sales in August improved to register a 3.9% increase on the same month a year ago.
Total US car sales increased to 549,749 units in August, down -8.5% Year-on- Year
The employment rate continued to slow in August, increasing 1.3% against August 2016.

GDP Growth

Real GDP Growth 1961 - 2016

Since 1961, annual American real GDP growth has been following a falling trend year-on-year.

Quarterly Real GDP Growth Q1 2008 - Q2 2017 ($billion, 2009 chained)

Leading & Composite Indicators

OECD Composite Leading Indicator

The OECD Composite Leading Indicator® (CLI) is designed “to provide early signals of turning points between expansions and slowdowns of economic activity”. The components include: Dwellings started (number), Net new orders for durable goods, share prices: NYSE composite, consumer sentiment indicator, weekly hours of work: manufacturing, purchasing managers index, and the spread of interest rates.

World Economics Sales Managers’ Index
The World Economics Sales Managers’ Index provides the earliest data each month covering all US private sector economic activity.

Consumer Indexes
IPSOS Global @dvisory Survey
Ipsos uses a monthly sample of over 18,000 adults worldwide to measure consumer perspectives on the present state of the economy as well as a 6 month outlook.

Nielsen Quarterly Consumer Confidence Survey

The Nielsen Global Online Consumer Confidence Survey, established in 2005, tracks consumer confidence, major concerns and spending intentions among more than 28,000 consumers in 56 countries.

Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® (CCI) is a “barometer of the health of the U.S. economy from the perspective of the consumer”.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, established in 1946, tracks consumer attitudes towards the present and future through a survey of 500 randomly selected individuals across the United states.

Consumer Demand
Retail Sales

Car Sales

U.S. Motor Intelligence compiles statistics on the domestic sales of passenger cars.

Employment
Nonfarm Payroll Employment
Nonfarm payroll employment is an indicator of private sector employment. It measures the total number of paid workers in the United States, excluding employees of government, private households, non-profit organisations and farms.

Industrial Indexes
Business Surveys

ISM Business Survey

Manufacturing Non-Manufacturing

Combined (Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing)

Industrial Production

Federal Reserve Industrial Production Index

U.S. Total Exports

Power
Total consumption is calculated through retail sales of electricity to residential, industrial and commercial customers.

Generation

Consumption

The United States Growth Monitor: Note to Users

Use of these data should be made in the recognition that World Economics shall not have any liability for these data or bear any responsibility for any actions taken based on these data, and in no event shall be liable for damages of any sort arising from use of these data.

World Economics will update the monitor on a regular basis as further data becomes available.

Sources

Long term GDP, National Bureau of Statistics

http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm
Short term GDP, National Bureau of Statistics
http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm
OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)
http://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?QueryId=6617

World Economics U.S. Sales Managers’ Index, World Economics
http://www.worldeconomics.com/SMI/SalesManagersIndex.efp

IPSOS Consumer Assessment, IPSOS

http://ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=15527

Nielsen Consumer Confidence, Nielsen

http://www.nielsen.com/be/en/insights/reports/2016/q4-2015-consumer-confidence-report.html

Conference Board Consumer Perception, Conference Board

http://www.conference-board.org/data/consumerconfidence.cfm
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Retail, US Bureau of Census