World Economics - Insight , Analysis and Data

World Economics - Measuring Global Economic Activity and GDP
 

Release Schedule

Date / Time (UTC) Release
03 Aug 03:00 SMI: Global Manufacturing
03 Aug 03:15 SMI: Global Services
03 Aug 03:30 SMI: Global All-Sector
04 Aug 08:00 SMI: Asia
05 Aug 08:00 SMI: Americas
06 Aug 08:00 SMI: Growth Continents
07 Aug 08:00 SMI: NAFTA
07 Aug 11:00 Growth Tracker: United States
07 Aug 11:00 Growth Tracker: China
07 Aug 11:00 Growth Tracker: India
07 Aug 11:00 Growth Tracker: Eurozone
10 Aug 07:00 WPI: Food Price Index
11 Aug 02:00 WPI: World Price Index
12 Aug 07:00 WPI: Durable Goods Price Index
13 Aug 07:00 WPI: Cost of Fun Price Index
14 Aug 07:00 WPI: Hospitality Price Index
17 Aug 07:00 WPI: Gasoline Price Index
18 Aug 12:00 SMI: United States
19 Aug 01:00 SMI: China
20 Aug 05:00 SMI: India
21 Aug 01:00 SMI: Mongolia
24 Aug 07:00 SMI: Nigeria
25 Aug 07:00 SMI: Africa
26 Aug 08:00 SMI: Mexico
27 Aug 08:00 SMI: Latin America
28 Aug 01:00 SMI: Philippines
28 Aug 07:00 GMI: Global Marketing Index
31 Aug 03:00 SMI: Global Manufacturing
31 Aug 03:15 SMI: Global Services
31 Aug 03:30 SMI: Global All-Sector
01 Sep 01:00 SMI: Asia
02 Sep 08:00 SMI: Americas
03 Sep 08:00 SMI: Growth Continents
04 Sep 08:00 SMI: NAFTA

> View the full diary of release dates

Global Sales Managers' Indexes

Global Sales Managers' Index

  JUNE 2015
Global All-Sector SMI
The April Index value of 56.7 was down slightly on its value registered in may by 0.1.

Global Manufacturing Sales Managers' Index
  June 2015
Global Manufacturing Sector SMI
The World Economics Global Manufacturing Sales Managers’ Index is the earliest economic activity report covering manufacturers in 70 countries worldwide.
Global Services Sales Managers' Index

  JUNE 2015
Global Services Sector SMI
The Index registered a value of 57.1 in June, slightly down on May’s 57.3 figure. Panellists indicate that the global services sector continues to exhibit solid economic activity but is experiencing a slightly declining trend.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Country

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: China


  JuLY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: China
The China Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout China. The earliest source of understanding about what’s really happening in the China.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: India


  JuLY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: India
The Index signals that Indian economic activity remains very strong despite easing in July. The Index remained very high at 65.7 in July, down slightly from June. July saw inflationary pressures weaken further but only by a small margin.   
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico


  JuLY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that the Mexican economy grew at a solid page in July with the rate of growth experiencing a strong increase.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia


  JuLY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia
The July Headline Index value of 42.6 indicates that the economy continues to contract at an increasing rate with monthly sales growth exhibiting a continued improvement on previous months.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria


  July 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria
The only available monthly economic indicator which covers all sectors of the Nigerian economy. The SMI Index reported that sales growth has been badly effected by the fall in oil price since June 2014 but is now starting to make a tentative recover.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines


  JuLY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Philippines has been very strong. The headline SMI at 80.6 is congruent with strong rates of economic growth. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: United States


  JuLY 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: United States
The SMI Headline Index registered a value of 59.9 in July, unchanged from the value in June. Sector analysis shows that the manufacturing sector was up by 1.6 as services also increased by 0.1.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Region

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Africa

  JuLY 2015
Africa
The SMI registered 59.3 in July, down 0.2 from June. Business Confidence remained very strong, inflation was stable and monthly sales growth improved for the fourth straight month. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Americas
  June 2015
Americas
This Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout the entire continent of The Americas to produce the earliest and only source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the continents.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Asia

  June 2015
Asia
Confidence among Sales Managers remains strong; meaning business conditions are to remain positive in the coming months for economic development.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Growth Continents

  June 2015
Growth Continents
The Headline Index is designed to reflect overall economic growth, bringing together the average movement of Confidence, Market Expansion, Product Sales, Prices Charged and the Staffing Indices.
The Sales Managers' Index: Latin America

  JuLY 2015
Latin America 
The SMI registered 48.9 in July indicating that economic activity in the region is continuing in recession. Business confidence remains weak and price inflation is still high.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: NAFTA

  June 2015
NAFTA
The composite NAFTA Sales Managers’ Index is the best source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the entire trading bloc.

The Sales Managers' Index Archive


  JuLY 2015
All Countries and Regions
The full archive of Sales Managers' Indexes cover: Africa, Americas, Asia, Growth Continents, Latin America, NAFTA along with the United States, China, India and Mongolia. 




Global Price Indexes

The World Price Index

  JULY 2015
World Price Index
The WPI provides a monthly index of PPP exchange rates against the US Dollar across the world’s 15 largest economies.
Food Price Index

  JULY 2015
Food Price Index
The World Economics Food Price Index (FPI) is based on average end-user prices for a typical basket of grocery items in national currencies
Durable Goods Price Index

  JULY 2015
Durable Goods Price Index
Price Index for durable goods. e.g. Kettles and homeware.
Gasoline Price Index

  JUNE 2015
Gasoline Price Index
Analysis of the average end-user prices for RON-95 Petrol in indexed from national currencies.
Hospitality Goods Price Index

  JUNE 2015
Hospitality Goods Price Index
Hospitality service prices for the 15 top global economies in comparable index form.
Cost of Fun Price Index

  JULY 2015
Cost of Fun Price Index
The cost of recreational goods and services from Golf Clubs, iPads, music downloads to holiday flights.

Growth Trackers

Global Growth Tracker   annual update: 2015
World Economics research shows that the global economy grew for 52 out of the past 53 years. The World Economy grew at 3.8% per year between 1961-2014.
China   JulY 2015
Leading indicators showed slower but still strong growth, with the headline SMI down to 52.9 in June. Total retail sales of consumer goods registered an annual increase of 10.2% during May.
Commonwealth    April 2015
The World Economics Commonwealth Growth Monitor contrasts the accelerating economic growth of the Commonwealth, with the 5 decade long decline in the rate of growth of the EU.
Eurozone    JULY 2015
Retail sales registered a year-on-year increase of 2.6% in May, compared to 0.5% in the same period last year. The unemployment rate was at 11.1% in May, unchanged from April’s value, but down from 11.6% in May 2014.
India    JULY 2015
Leading indicators showed slower but rapid growth in June, with the SMI at 66.4 down from 67.0 in May. Domestic demand continued to rise, with car sales registering a year-on-year rise of 7.7% in May.
United States    JULY 2015
U.S. GDP fell at an annualised rate of -0.2% in Q1 2015, compared to 2.2% in Q4 2014. Consumer Confidence remained strong, with the Nielsen Confidence Index  at 107 in Q1 2015.





























































Global Marketing Index

World Economics:  Global Marketing Index   Global Marketing Index
The GMI for July shows that Global Adspend has now surpassed its pre-crisis peak but the recent slowdown in the rate of growth continues for global marketing budgets. TV’s share of marketing budgets inparticular has declined due to the vibrant growth of new media..



Latest Index Data Trends

Sort by:

Name Speed & Direction      
GMI: Global - Marketing Index Medium, Falling
GMI: Americas - Marketing Index Slow, Falling
GMI: Asia Pacific - Marketing Index Slow, Increasing
GMI: European - Marketing Index Medium, Increasing
GMI: Global - Trading conditions Medium, Stable
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets Slow, Falling
GMI: Global - Staffing Medium, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - SMI Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - New Sales Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - Market Growth Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - Staffing Levels Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - Prices Charged Fast, Rising
SMI: LatAm - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: LatAm - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Prices Charged Medium, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Business Confidence Slow, Increasing
SMI: LatAm - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: LatAm - Staffing Levels Moderate, Falling
SMI: Mexico - SMI Medium, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - Market Growth Fast, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - Business Confidence Medium, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - Prices Charged Stable, Rising
SMI: Mexico - Staffing Levels Stable, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged Medium, Stable
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Africa - Market Growth Medium, Increasing
SMI: Africa - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - SMI Fast, Stable
SMI: Nigeria - Market Growth Fast, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Prices Charged Medium, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Staffing Levels Medium, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Business Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - New Sales Medium, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - SMI Moderate, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged Rapid, Falling
SMI: India - SMI Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Market Growth Medium, Increasing
SMI: India - Staffing Levels Medium, Falling
SMI: India - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: India - New Sales Very Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Business Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: China - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: China - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: China - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Business Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: USA - SMI Medium, Stable
SMI: USA - Prices Charged Medium, Falling
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels Medium, Increasing
SMI: USA - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: USA - Business Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: USA - New Sales Medium, Falling
GPI: Global - Gas Price Index Rising
GPI: United States Rising
GPI: China Falling
GPI: Japan Rising
GPI: India Rising
GPI: Germany Rising
GPI: United Kingdom Rising
GPI: Russia Rising
GPI: France Rising
GPI: Brazil Falling
GPI: Italy Rising
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index Falling
HPI: United States Rising
HPI: China Falling
HPI: Japan Falling
HPI: India Falling
HPI: Germany Falling
HPI: United Kingdom Falling
HPI: Russia Falling
HPI: France Falling
HPI: Brazil Rising
HPI: Italy Falling
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index Rising
CFPI: United States Rising
CFPI: China Rising
CFPI: Japan Rising
CFPI: India Falling
CFPI: Germany Rising
CFPI: United Kingdom Rising
CFPI: Russia Rising
CFPI: France Falling
CFPI: Brazil Rising
CFPI: Italy Rising
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index Stable
DPI: United States Falling
DPI: China Falling
DPI: Japan Rising
DPI: India Rising
DPI: Germany Rising
DPI: United Kingdom Falling
DPI: Russia Falling
DPI: France Rising
DPI: Brazil Falling
DPI: Italy Rising
WPI: China Stable
WPI: Japan Falling
WPI: India Stable
WPI: Germany Falling
WPI: United Kingdom Stable
WPI: Russia Stable
WPI: Brazil Stable
WPI: Italy Stable
WPI: Argentina Falling
WPI: Mexico Falling
WPI: South Korea Falling
WPI: Canada Stable
WPI: France Falling
WPI: Spain Stable
WPI: Turkey Stable
FPI: Global - Food Price Index Rising
FPI: United States Rising
FPI: China Rising
FPI: Japan Falling
FPI: India Rising
FPI: Germany Falling
FPI: United Kingdom Falling
FPI: Russia Rising
FPI: France Falling
FPI: Brazil Rising
FPI: Italy Falling
SMI: NAFTA - SMI Medium, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth Fast, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged Stable, Falling
SMI: Americas - SMI Medium, Increasing
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: Americas - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - Market Growth Medium, Increasing
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged Slow, Rising



Recent Papers

New on World Economics: How Errors in Seasonal Adjustment Factors for US GDP contributes to misleading National Accounts Data


  JULY 2015
How Errors in Seasonal Adjustment Factors for US GDP contributes to misleading National Accounts Data
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Africa


  JUNE 2015
Measuring GDP in Africa
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Europe


  APRIL 2015
Measuring GDP in Europe
New on World Economics: Sterling is the most debased currency


  MARCH 2015
Sterling is the most debased currency
New on World Economics: Global Growth Tracker


  MARCH 2015
Global Growth Tracker
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in North and South America


  FEBRUARY 2015
Measuring GDP in North and South America
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Asia


  FEBRUARY 2015
Measuring GDP in Asia
New on World Economics: Tanzania’s GDP grows 31.4 percent after rebasing


  FEBRUARY 2015
Tanzania’s GDP grows 31.4 percent after rebasing
New on World Economics: Argentina’s Inflation Data Problems


  FEBRUARY 2014
Argentina’s Inflation Data Problems
New on World Economics: Measuring Argentina's GDP: Myths And Facts


  JANUARY 2014
Measuring Argentina's GDP: Myths And Facts
New on World Economics: China Becomes the Worlds largest Economy in 2013


  DECEMBER 2013
China Becomes the Worlds largest Economy in 2013
New on World Economics: How to create a British Sovereign Wealth Fund


  NOVEMBER 2013
How to create a British Sovereign Wealth Fund
New on World Economics: Understanding Commercial Property Price Indexes


  OCTOBER 2013
Understanding Commercial Property Price Indexes
New on World Economics: The Need to Improve Global Real Estate Data


  SEPTEMBER 2013
The Need to Improve Global Real Estate Data
New on World Economics: The Nutella Tax: patronising, protectionist and promoting poverty


  SEPTEMBER 2013
The Nutella Tax: patronising, protectionist and promoting poverty
New on World Economics: Emerging Market Economic Data Cannot be Trusted


  AUGUST 2013
Emerging Market Economic Data Cannot be Trusted
New on World Economics: Demystifying Youth Unemployment


  AUGUST 2013
Demystifying Youth Unemployment

Spotlight: When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


Spotlight: Growing US trade imbalance with China


Growing US trade imbalance with China


Spotlight: The UK Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)

Spotlight: Eurozone Inflation (1997 – 2015)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)




Classic Papers from the Archive



  What do Economists Know?
Economists can be confident about quite a lot of what they do think they know, even when they are disbelieved by large parts of the public not to mention political leaders and policy makers. Sir Alan Budd revisits some fundamentals.


  How to Tackle Poverty
This article argues that, beyond the headline-grabbing generalities, development economists are building up a detailed body of empirical evidence specific to individual countries which will shape more effective policy interventions in the years ahead.


  The Economics of Epidemics
An analysis of the economic implications of the Great Plague in the fourteenth century, the 1918–19 influenza epidemic, the HIV/AIDS curse and SARS to demonstrate the short- and long-term effects of different kinds of epidemics.


  The Value of Vaccination
Despite advances during the twentieth century, immunization coverage is far from universal and faces significant obstacles in both developing and developed countries. The paper shows that the economic effects via improved health - have been underestimated, thereby causing the rate of return to be underestimated.



  How Many Wildebeest do You Need?
A close look at the Wildlife Act, by pandering to the welfare lobby, the act removes all remaining incentives for communities and landowners to keep wildlife on their land.


  The Economics of Copyright
A review of the economic issues behind copyright and how these are challenged by changes in technology and market structure


  The Case for Narrow Banking
The paper argues that regulatory reform should emphasise systemic resilience and robustness, not more detailed behaviour prescription.
 


  The Costs of Violent Crime
A review of a number of studies that have sought to estimate the economic costs of criminal offending and, more specifically, violent crime.


  An Economic Analysis of the Mafia
This paper reviews the current economic thinking on the Mafia phenomenon and distinguishes the Mafia from ordinary criminal gangs by the desire of the exclusive right to commit criminal acts.



  Weapons Exports - The Bogus Moral Dilemma
Samuel Brittan argues that "unaffordable" ethical arms exports arise from a failure to understand the circular flow of income, the fallacy of a "lump of labour" and a long discredited mercantilist view of trade.


  Measuring Global Drug Markets
The continuing demand for measures of the size of global drug revenues has produced a supply of numbers that consistently overstate international financial flows. This paper shows that, rather than $500 billion, the annual figure in trade terms may be about $25 billion.




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