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INDEXES

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Name Value Outlook
SMI: Mongolia - SMI 45.0 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth 41.7 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence 40.1 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales 42.5 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged 55.9 Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels 44.8 Negative
GMI: Global - Marketing Index 56.6 Positive
GMI: Global - Trading conditions 59.2 Positive
GMI: Global - Staffing 57.6 Positive
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets 53.2 Positive
SMI: Africa - SMI 55.2 Positive
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged 52.4 Falling
SMI: Africa - New Sales 52.5 Positive
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels 51.1 Stable
SMI: Africa - Market Growth 54.7 Positive
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence 65.1 Positive
SMI: China - SMI 56.1 Positive
SMI: China - Prices Charged 51.1 Stable
SMI: China - Business Confidence 60.2 Positive
SMI: China - Staffing Levels 52.6 Positive
SMI: China - New Sales 58.4 Positive
SMI: China - Market Growth 58.5 Positive
SMI: USA - SMI 60.8 Positive
SMI: USA - Market Growth 62.2 Positive
SMI: USA - Business Confidence 70.5 Positive
SMI: USA - Prices Charged 56.0 Falling
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels 54.9 Positive
SMI: USA - New Sales 60.4 Positive
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index 105.3 Falling
HPI: United States 100.3 Rising
HPI: China 86.8 Falling
HPI: Japan 97.5 Falling
HPI: India 110.8 Falling
HPI: Germany 142.0 Rising
HPI: United Kingdom 106.6 Falling
HPI: Russia 95.2 Falling
HPI: France 108.6 Falling
HPI: Brazil 130.0 Rising
HPI: Italy 75.4 Falling
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index 95.3 Falling
CFPI: United States 89.1 Falling
CFPI: China 94.3 Rising
CFPI: Japan 94.2 Falling
CFPI: India 104.5 Falling
CFPI: Germany 98.8 Rising
CFPI: United Kingdom 97.9 Falling
CFPI: Russia 110.7 Rising
CFPI: France 100.8 Falling
CFPI: Brazil 75.5 Falling
CFPI: Italy 87.2 Rising
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index 91.3 Falling
DPI: United States 89.1 Falling
DPI: China 94.0 Falling
DPI: Japan 73.6 Falling
DPI: India 99.0 Falling
DPI: Germany 113.5 Rising
DPI: United Kingdom 85.5 Falling
DPI: Russia 86.0 Falling
DPI: France 97.8 Rising
DPI: Brazil 71.4 Falling
DPI: Italy 102.9 Falling
WPI: China 5.8 Stable
WPI: Japan 117.1 Rising
WPI: India 0.8 Stable
WPI: Germany 39.8 Falling
WPI: United Kingdom 0.7 Stable
WPI: Russia 1.0 Stable
WPI: France 35.4 Rising
WPI: Brazil 0.8 Stable
WPI: Italy 2.9 Stable
WPI: Argentina 10.4 Rising
WPI: Mexico 11.7 Falling
WPI: South Korea 1231.3 Rising
WPI: Canada 1.2 Stable
WPI: Spain 0.9 Stable
WPI: Turkey 1.8 Stable
FPI: Global - Food Price Index 104.94 Falling
FPI: United States 94.87 Rising
FPI: China 111.78 Rising
FPI: Japan 74.74 Rising
FPI: India 107.21 Rising
FPI: Germany 132.55 Falling
FPI: United Kingdom 94.43 Falling
FPI: Russia 106.05 Rising
FPI: France 102.98 Rising
FPI: Brazil 128.66 Falling
FPI: Italy 96.1 Falling
SMI: NAFTA - SMI 60.9 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence 69.4 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales 60.2 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged 54.6 Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels 55.9 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth 64.3 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI 59.5 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged 55.1 Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth 60.7 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence 65.3 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales 60.9 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels 55.7 Positive
SMI: Americas - SMI 59.8 Positive
SMI: Americas - New Sales 59.8 Positive
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels 54.7 Positive
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged 56.0 Falling
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence 65.8 Positive
SMI: Americas - Market Growth 62.5 Positive
SMI: Asia - SMI 60.4 Positive
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged 52.8 Falling
SMI: Asia - Market Growth 61.1 Positive
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels 56.9 Positive
SMI: Asia - New Sales 61.8 Positive
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence 69.4 Positive
SMI: Global - SMI 60.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels 56.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Future Confidence 67.9 Positive
SMI: Global - Prices Charged 56.7 Falling
SMI: Global - Market Growth 62.0 Positive
SMI: Global - New Sales 61.0 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - SMI 60.5 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Sales 60.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing 56.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence 67.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Market 62.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Prices 54.5 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI 61.0 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market 61.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices 57.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence 68.0 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing 56.4 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales 61.1 Positive
SMI: Philippines - SMI 82.8 Positive
SMI: Philippines - New Sales 77.7 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Staffing Levels 80.5 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Market Growth 88.9 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Confidence 99.7 Positive
SMI: Philippines - Prices Charged 67.0 Falling
SMI: Mexico - SMI 58.6 Positive
SMI: Mexico - New Sales 56.3 Positive
SMI: Mexico - Market Growth 72.2 Positive
SMI: Mexico - Business Confidence 60.7 Positive
SMI: Mexico - Prices Charged 52.4 Falling
SMI: Mexico - Staffing Levels 51.1 Stable
SMI: Nigeria - SMI 68.2 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Prices Charged 52.8 Falling
SMI: Nigeria - New Sales 69.8 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Business Confidence 90.3 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Staffing Levels 56.9 Positive
SMI: Nigeria - Market Growth 70.9 Positive
SMI: India - SMI 66.0 Positive
SMI: India - Market Growth 61.1 Positive
SMI: India - Staffing Levels 61.4 Positive
SMI: India - Prices Charged 52.9 Falling
SMI: India - Business Confidence 87.6 Positive
SMI: India - New Sales 66.8 Positive
SMI: LatAm - SMI 59.2 Positive
SMI: LatAm - Business Confidence 55.0 Positive
SMI: LatAm - Market Growth 62.4 Positive
SMI: LatAm - New Sales 59.8 Positive
SMI: LatAm - Prices Charged 64.1 Falling
SMI: LatAm - Staffing Levels 54.6 Positive
SMI: Mongolia - SMI 45.7 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged 58.0 Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth 41.8 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence 40.3 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels 46.5 Negative
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales 42.0 Negative
GMI: Global - Marketing Index 56.7 Positive
GMI: Global - Staffing 56.0 Positive
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets 54.1 Positive
GMI: Global - Trading conditions 60.0 Positive
SMI: Africa - SMI 56.9 Positive
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence 68.1 Positive
SMI: Africa - New Sales 54.6 Positive
SMI: Africa - Market Growth 56.0 Positive
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged 53.2 Falling
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels 52.4 Positive
SMI: China - SMI 57.0 Positive
SMI: China - Prices Charged 51.6 Stable
SMI: China - Business Confidence 61.0 Positive
SMI: China - Staffing Levels 53.9 Positive
SMI: China - New Sales 58.9 Positive
SMI: China - Market Growth 59.7 Positive
SMI: USA - SMI 61.4 Positive
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels 55.7 Positive
SMI: USA - Business Confidence 71.2 Positive
SMI: USA - Market Growth 63.1 Positive
SMI: USA - Prices Charged 55.9 Falling
SMI: USA - New Sales 60.9 Positive
GPI: Global - Gas Price Index 115.7 Rising
GPI: United States 123.9 Stable
GPI: China 96.1 Stable
GPI: Japan 124.5 Rising
GPI: India 126.1 Stable
GPI: Germany 108.1 Falling
GPI: United Kingdom 107.1 Rising
GPI: Russia 132.1 Rising
GPI: France 108.5 Rising
GPI: Brazil 107.6 Stable
GPI: Italy 123.2 Rising
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index 106.4 Rising
HPI: United States 100.0 Falling
HPI: China 87.7 Rising
HPI: Japan 98.6 Rising
HPI: India 119.4 Falling
HPI: Germany 138.7 Rising
HPI: United Kingdom 107.2 Rising
HPI: Russia 96.1 Rising
HPI: France 110.7 Rising
HPI: Brazil 117.9 Rising
HPI: Italy 87.5 Rising
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index 97.2 Falling
CFPI: United States 93.4 Falling
CFPI: China 92.3 Rising
CFPI: Japan 94.6 Rising
CFPI: India 108.2 Falling
CFPI: Germany 97.2 Rising
CFPI: United Kingdom 98.7 Falling
CFPI: Russia 108.7 Rising
CFPI: France 102.6 Falling
CFPI: Brazil 90.3 Falling
CFPI: Italy 86.1 Falling
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index 94.4 Falling
DPI: United States 91.8 Falling
DPI: China 94.8 Rising
DPI: Japan 73.7 Rising
DPI: India 102.7 Stable
DPI: Germany 112.9 Falling
DPI: United Kingdom 88.5 Falling
DPI: Russia 88.5 Falling
DPI: France 97.0 Falling
DPI: Brazil 88.3 Falling
DPI: Italy 106.4 Falling
WPI: China 5.8 Rising
WPI: Japan 116.1 Stable
WPI: India 0.8 Falling
WPI: Germany 40.2 Rising
WPI: United Kingdom 0.7 Stable
WPI: Russia 1.0 Falling
WPI: France 35.1 Rising
WPI: Brazil 0.8 Falling
WPI: Italy 2.9 Rising
WPI: Argentina 10.1 Rising
WPI: Mexico 11.9 Falling
WPI: South Korea 1222.1 Rising
WPI: Canada 1.2 Stable
WPI: Spain 0.9 Stable
WPI: Turkey 1.8 Falling
FPI: Global - Food Price Index 105.09 Rising
FPI: United States 94.46 Falling
FPI: China 111.1 Rising
FPI: Japan 74.01 Rising
FPI: India 106.86 Rising
FPI: Germany 135.27 Rising
FPI: United Kingdom 94.51 Falling
FPI: Russia 105.08 Falling
FPI: France 102.5 Falling
FPI: Brazil 129.52 Rising
FPI: Italy 97.6 Falling
SMI: NAFTA - SMI 60.7 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence 69.9 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged 54.9 Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels 55.3 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth 63.1 Positive
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales 60.4 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI 59.1 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged 54.5 Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels 55.6 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales 59.6 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence 65.8 Positive
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth 60.2 Positive
SMI: Americas - SMI 58.8 Positive
SMI: Americas - Market Growth 59.7 Positive
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged 56.0 Falling
SMI: Americas - New Sales 58.6 Positive
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence 67.0 Positive
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels 52.6 Positive
SMI: Asia - SMI 60.2 Positive
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence 68.7 Positive
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged 52.5 Falling
SMI: Asia - Market Growth 61.3 Positive
SMI: Asia - New Sales 61.1 Positive
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels 57.2 Positive
SMI: Global - SMI 60.4 Positive
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels 55.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Prices Charged 56.5 Falling
SMI: Global - New Sales 59.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Future Confidence 68.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Market Growth 61.0 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - SMI 59.9 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing 55.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Prices 53.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Sales 59.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence 68.3 Positive
SMI: Global - Man - Market 61.9 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI 60.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices 57.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing 55.8 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales 59.7 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market 60.6 Positive
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence 69.1 Positive

Global Data Releases

The World Price Index

  JUly 2014
World Price Index
The WPI provides a monthly index of PPP exchange rates against the US Dollar across the world’s 15 largest economies.
World Economics:  Global Marketing Index   JULY 2014
Global Marketing Index
Headline GMI decreased by 0.1 points in July but up 2.4 points year-on-year to 56.6. 

World Economics:  Global Marketing Index   ANNUAL UPDATE: 2013
World Markets of Tomorrow
Making very modest assumptions about economic growth, the world in 2050 becomes visible in outline, with profound implications.
Global Growth Monitor


  annual update: 2014
Global Growth Tracker
World Economics research shows that the global economy grew for 51 out of the past 52 years. The World Economy grew at 3.8% per year between 1961-2013.
World Economics Updates   World Economics Updates
Sign-up for FREE monthly economic data releases.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Region

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Africa

  JULY 2014
Africa
The SMI registered 55.2 in July, down 1.7 from June, and marks the 4th month of price reductions after 24 consecutive month of price inflation throughout Africa. 

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Americas
  June 2014
Americas
This Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout the entire continent of The Americas to produce the earliest and only source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the continents.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Asia

  June 2014
Asia
Confidence among Sales Managers remains high; meaning business conditions are to remain positive in the coming months for economic development.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Growth Continents

  JUNE 2014
Growth Continents
The Headline Index is designed to reflect overall economic growth, bringing together the average movement of Confidence, Market Expansion, Product Sales, Prices Charged and the Staffing Indices.
The Sales Managers' Index: Latin America

  JUNE 2014
Latin America 
The Index reading of 59.2 reflects economic expansion at a steady pace. Market growth remains strong with price inflation continuing to rise.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: NAFTA

  MAY 2014
NAFTA
The composite NAFTA Sales Managers’ Index is the best source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the entire trading bloc.

The Sales Managers' Index Archive


  JUNE 2014
All Countries and Regions
The full archive of Sales Managers' Indexes cover: Africa, Americas, Asia, Growth Continents, Latin America, NAFTA along with the United States, China, India and Mongolia. 


Sales Managers' Indexes - By Country

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: China


  JULY 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: China
The China Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout China. The earliest source of understanding about what’s really happening in the China.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: India


  JUNE 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: India
The Index suggests that the Indian economy has been gaining momentum over the past few months. The SMI registered 66.0 in June, up from 64.3 in May, indicating that the Indian economy is growing at an accelerating pace. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico


  June 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that the Mexican economy remains strong and increased at a steady pace in June.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia


  JULY 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia
The July Headline Index value of 45.0 indicates that the economy continues to contract at an increasing rate. Business Confidence is now at a 7 month low.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria


  JUNE 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria
The only available monthly economic indicator which covers all sectors of the Nigerian economy. The Indexes taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Nigeria was rapid and broad based in June 2014.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines


  June 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Philippines has been very strong. The headline SMI at 82.8 is congruent with strong development. 

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: United States


  JULY 2014
The Sales Managers' Index: United States
The SMI Headline Index for Q2 2014 is suggesting a sharp bounce back for Q2 GDP after the unexpected -2.9% real contraction in Q1 2014. 

Growth Trackers

China   JuLY 2014
China’s economy expanded at an annual rate of 7.4% in Q1 2014, down from 7.7% in Q4 2013. Consumer demand remains high, with retail sales hitting their highest level in five months whilst industrial indexes confirm solid growth.
Commonwealth    May 2013
The World Economics Commonwealth Growth Monitor contrasts the accelerating economic growth of the Commonwealth, with the 5 decade long decline in the rate of growth of the EU.
Eurozone    JULY 2014
The Euro area’s economy grew 0.9% in Q1 2014 compared to the same period in 2013. Economic Sentiment fell in June by 0.7% from it's May reading.
India    JUly 2014
Latest year-on-year data indicates economy grew 4.4% in Q4 2013 compared to 5.4% Q4 2012. Leading indicators show steady growth, congruent with the June Headline SMI value of 66.0.
United States    JUly 2014
Latest figures show economy rose at annualised rate of 1.5% in Q1 2014 compared to Q1 2013 while year-on-year data indicated private sector employment grew 2.14% in June compared to 2.07% in May.






Spotlight: When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


Spotlight: Growing US trade imbalance with China


Growing US trade imbalance with China


Spotlight: The UK Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)




Classic Papers from the Archive



  What do Economists Know?
Economists can be confident about quite a lot of what they do think they know, even when they are disbelieved by large parts of the public not to mention political leaders and policy makers. Sir Alan Budd revisits some fundamentals.


  How to Tackle Poverty
This article argues that, beyond the headline-grabbing generalities, development economists are building up a detailed body of empirical evidence specific to individual countries which will shape more effective policy interventions in the years ahead.


  The Economics of Epidemics
An analysis of the economic implications of the Great Plague in the fourteenth century, the 1918–19 influenza epidemic, the HIV/AIDS curse and SARS to demonstrate the short- and long-term effects of different kinds of epidemics.


  The Value of Vaccination
Despite advances during the twentieth century, immunization coverage is far from universal and faces significant obstacles in both developing and developed countries. The paper shows that the economic effects via improved health - have been underestimated, thereby causing the rate of return to be underestimated.



  How Many Wildebeest do You Need?
A close look at the Wildlife Act, by pandering to the welfare lobby, the act removes all remaining incentives for communities and landowners to keep wildlife on their land.


  The Economics of Copyright
A review of the economic issues behind copyright and how these are challenged by changes in technology and market structure


  The Case for Narrow Banking
The paper argues that regulatory reform should emphasise systemic resilience and robustness, not more detailed behaviour prescription.
 


  The Costs of Violent Crime
A review of a number of studies that have sought to estimate the economic costs of criminal offending and, more specifically, violent crime.


  An Economic Analysis of the Mafia
This paper reviews the current economic thinking on the Mafia phenomenon and distinguishes the Mafia from ordinary criminal gangs by the desire of the exclusive right to commit criminal acts.



  Weapons Exports - The Bogus Moral Dilemma
Samuel Brittan argues that "unaffordable" ethical arms exports arise from a failure to understand the circular flow of income, the fallacy of a "lump of labour" and a long discredited mercantilist view of trade.


  Measuring Global Drug Markets
The continuing demand for measures of the size of global drug revenues has produced a supply of numbers that consistently overstate international financial flows. This paper shows that, rather than $500 billion, the annual figure in trade terms may be about $25 billion.




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