World Economics - Insight , Analysis and Data

World Economics - The first measures of global growth every month
 

Release Schedule



Growth Trackers

United States  Growth Tracker


  February 2017
United States
US. GDP rose at an annualised rate of 1.9% in Q4 2016 and 1.6% for 2016 on an annual basis . Data from the Beureau of Labour Statistics shows that employees on non-farm payrolls stood at 145.5 million in January, up 1.6% year-on-year.
China Growth Tracker


  February 2017
China
China’s official data show GDP grew at annual rate of 6.8% in Q4 2016 and 6.7% during 2016. The latest Li Keqiang Index grew 6% YnY in December, 3% lower than the November reading as the Conference Board Leading Economic Index increased to 6.9% YnY in December.
India Growth Tracker


  February 2017
India
Leading indicators showed rapid economic growth, with the SMI at 70.3 in January, down from December. Passenger car sales in India increased at a rate of 8% in December despite the recent cash ban.
Global Growth Tracker


  ANNUAL UPDATE: 2016
Global Growth Tracker
World Economics research shows that the global economy grew for 54 out of the past 55 years. The World Economy grew at 3.8% per year between 1961-2015.
Eurozone Growth Tracker


  February 2017
Eurozone
Euro area economy grew at annual rate of 1.5% in Q3 2016, compared to 2.4% in the same quarter of the previous year. Total EU19 unemployment stood at 15.571 million in December, Youth unemployment of 2.9 million.
Commonwealth Growth Tracker


  ANNUAL UPDATE: 2016
Commonwealth
The World Economics Commonwealth Growth Monitor contrasts the accelerating economic growth of the Commonwealth, with the 5 decade long decline in the rate of growth of the EU.




Global Sales Managers Indexes

Global Sales Managers' Index

  Global All-Sector SMI: February 2017
Global Growth Remains
Steady in February


Global Manufacturing Sales Managers' Index
  Global Manufacturing SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
Global Manufacturing Sector Reports Continuing Improvements

Global Services Sales Managers' Index

  Global Services SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
Global Service Sector Sales
Recede from Recent High

.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Region

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Africa

  Pan-Africa SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
SMI Suggests Pan-African
Economy Continues to Contract

 
The Sales Managers' Index: Latin America

  Latin America SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
Latin American Economy Pauses
on the Road to Recovery 


New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Americas
  The Americas SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
The Pan-Americas Economy Grows at the Fastest Rate for 15 Months

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Asia

  Asia SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
Strong Sales Growth Drives Improving Business Confidence in Asia 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Growth Continents
  Growth Continents SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
New Sales Growth in Developing Markets Remains Strong 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: NAFTA

  NAFTA SMI: FEBRUARY 2017
NAFTA SMI Suggests
Rebounding Sales Growth
The Sales Managers' Index Archive


  FEBRUARY 2017
All Countries and Regions
The full archive of Sales Managers' Indexes cover: Africa, Americas, Asia, Growth Continents, Latin America, NAFTA along with the United States, China, India and Mongolia. 


Latest Index Data Trends

Sort by:

Name Speed & Direction      
SMI: USA - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: USA - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels Stable, Increasing
SMI: USA - Business Confidence Medium, Increasing
SMI: USA - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: USA - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - Staffing Levels Stable, Increasing
SMI: China - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: China - Business Confidence Slow, Stable
SMI: China - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: India - SMI Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Staffing Levels Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Business Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: India - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: India - New Sales Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - SMI Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels Rapid, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Africa - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Africa - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: Africa - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Prices Charged Fast, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Staffing Levels Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Business Confidence Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - SMI Stable, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - Market Growth Stable, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - Business Confidence Stable, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: South Africa - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Market Growth Stable, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - New Sales Stable, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Business Confidence Stable, Stable
SMI: Mexico - Staffing Levels Stable, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: LatAm - SMI Stable, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Business Confidence Slow, Stable
SMI: LatAm - Staffing Levels Moderate, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: LatAm - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: LatAm - New Sales Stable, Falling
SMI: Philippines - SMI Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - Prices Charged Fast, Stable
SMI: Philippines - Market Growth Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - Staffing Levels Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - New Sales Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Market Stable, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing Stable, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Prices Slow, Increasing
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing Stable, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices Slow, Increasing
SMI: Global - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: Global - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: Global - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels Stable, Falling
SMI: Global - Future Confidence Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Asia - New Sales Fast, Falling
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Asia - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: Americas - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Americas - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Americas - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence Slow, Increasing
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence Medium, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth Slow, Stable
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: NAFTA - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence Slow, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels Stable, Falling
GPI: Global - Gas Price Index Rising
GPI: United States Falling
GPI: China Falling
GPI: Japan Rising
GPI: India Rising
GPI: Germany Stable
GPI: United Kingdom Rising
GPI: Russia Rising
GPI: France Rising
GPI: Brazil Rising
GPI: Italy Rising
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index Falling
HPI: United States Falling
HPI: China Rising
HPI: Japan Rising
HPI: India Rising
HPI: Germany Falling
HPI: United Kingdom Falling
HPI: Russia Rising
HPI: France Rising
HPI: Brazil Falling
HPI: Italy Falling
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index Rising
CFPI: United States Falling
CFPI: China Rising
CFPI: Japan Falling
CFPI: India Rising
CFPI: Germany Rising
CFPI: United Kingdom Rising
CFPI: Russia Falling
CFPI: France Falling
CFPI: Brazil Rising
CFPI: Italy Rising
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index Falling
DPI: United States Rising
DPI: China Falling
DPI: Japan Rising
DPI: India Stable
DPI: Germany Stable
DPI: United Kingdom Falling
DPI: Russia Rising
DPI: France Falling
DPI: Brazil Falling
DPI: Italy Rising
WPI: China Falling
WPI: Japan Rising
WPI: Germany Stable
WPI: India Rising
WPI: United Kingdom Stable
WPI: France Stable
WPI: Italy Stable
WPI: Brazil Falling
WPI: Argentina Rising
WPI: Mexico Rising
WPI: South Korea Rising
WPI: Canada Stable
WPI: Russia Rising
WPI: Spain Stable
WPI: Turkey Rising
FPI: Global - Food Price Index Rising
FPI: United States Rising
FPI: China Falling
FPI: Japan Falling
FPI: India Rising
FPI: Germany Rising
FPI: United Kingdom Rising
FPI: Russia Rising
FPI: France Falling
FPI: Brazil Falling
FPI: Italy Rising
GMI: Global - Marketing Index Slow, Stable
GMI: Americas - Marketing Index Stable, Falling
GMI: Asia Pacific - Marketing Index Slow, Falling
GMI: European - Marketing Index Medium, Increasing
GMI: Global - Trading conditions Slow, Increasing
GMI: Global - Staffing Slow, Increasing
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets Slow, Falling










Global GDP Data

Data Quality Index

  Data Quality Index
The data quality index is designed to review the accuracy of GDP data worldwide. Most GDP data is flawed to an extent few realise. See just how misleading GDP data can be here.
Historical GDP Database

  Global GDP Database
Download the world’s most comprehensive GDP database. Covering over 130 countries with historical GDP PPP data from 1870-2015, building on the lifetimes work of Angus Maddison and bringing it right up to date.



Global Price Indexes

The World Price Index

  World Price Index - February 2017
Germany Gains Most From
Euro Valuation Against US Dollar
Food Price Index

  February 2017
Food Price Index
The World Economics Food Price Index (FPI) is based on average end-user prices for a typical basket of grocery items in national currencies
Durable Goods Price Index

  February 2017
Durable Goods Price Index
Price Index for durable goods. e.g. Kettles and homeware.
Gasoline Price Index

  February 2017
Gasoline / Petrol Price Index
Analysis of the average end-user prices for RON-95 Petrol in indexed from national currencies.
Hospitality Goods Price Index

  February 2017
Hospitality Goods Price Index
Hospitality service prices for the 15 top global economies in comparable index form.
Cost of Fun Price Index

  February 2017
Cost of Fun Price Index
The cost of recreational goods and services from Golf Clubs, iPads, music downloads to holiday flights.

Recent Papers

New on World Economics: India Growth Tracker


  FEBRUARY 2017
India Growth Tracker
New on World Economics: China Growth Tracker


  FEBRUARY 2017
China Growth Tracker
New on World Economics: Eurozone Growth Tracker


  FEBRUARY 2017
Eurozone Growth Tracker
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in North and South America


  MARCH 2016
Measuring GDP in North and South America
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Asia


  MARCH 2016
Measuring GDP in Asia
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Africa


  MARCH 2016
Measuring GDP in Africa
New on World Economics: Global Growth Tracker


  MARCH 2016
Global Growth Tracker
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Europe


  SEPTEMBER 2015
Measuring GDP in Europe
New on World Economics: How Errors in Seasonal Adjustment Factors for US GDP contributes to misleading National Accounts Data


  JULY 2015
How Errors in Seasonal Adjustment Factors for US GDP contributes to misleading National Accounts Data
New on World Economics: Sterling is the most debased currency


  MARCH 2015
Sterling is the most debased currency
New on World Economics: Tanzania’s GDP grows 31.4 percent after rebasing


  FEBRUARY 2015
Tanzania’s GDP grows 31.4 percent after rebasing
New on World Economics: Argentina’s Inflation Data Problems


  FEBRUARY 2014
Argentina’s Inflation Data Problems
New on World Economics: Measuring Argentina's GDP: Myths And Facts


  JANUARY 2014
Measuring Argentina's GDP: Myths And Facts
New on World Economics: China Becomes the Worlds largest Economy in 2013


  DECEMBER 2013
China Becomes the Worlds largest Economy in 2013
New on World Economics: How to create a British Sovereign Wealth Fund


  NOVEMBER 2013
How to create a British Sovereign Wealth Fund
New on World Economics: Understanding Commercial Property Price Indexes


  OCTOBER 2013
Understanding Commercial Property Price Indexes
New on World Economics: The Need to Improve Global Real Estate Data


  SEPTEMBER 2013
The Need to Improve Global Real Estate Data






Classic Papers from the Archive



  What do Economists Know?
Economists can be confident about quite a lot of what they do think they know, even when they are disbelieved by large parts of the public not to mention political leaders and policy makers. Sir Alan Budd revisits some fundamentals.


  How to Tackle Poverty
This article argues that, beyond the headline-grabbing generalities, development economists are building up a detailed body of empirical evidence specific to individual countries which will shape more effective policy interventions in the years ahead.


  The Economics of Epidemics
An analysis of the economic implications of the Great Plague in the fourteenth century, the 1918–19 influenza epidemic, the HIV/AIDS curse and SARS to demonstrate the short- and long-term effects of different kinds of epidemics.


  The Value of Vaccination
Despite advances during the twentieth century, immunization coverage is far from universal and faces significant obstacles in both developing and developed countries. The paper shows that the economic effects via improved health - have been underestimated, thereby causing the rate of return to be underestimated.



  How Many Wildebeest do You Need?
A close look at the Wildlife Act, by pandering to the welfare lobby, the act removes all remaining incentives for communities and landowners to keep wildlife on their land.


  The Economics of Copyright
A review of the economic issues behind copyright and how these are challenged by changes in technology and market structure


  The Case for Narrow Banking
The paper argues that regulatory reform should emphasise systemic resilience and robustness, not more detailed behaviour prescription.
 


  The Costs of Violent Crime
A review of a number of studies that have sought to estimate the economic costs of criminal offending and, more specifically, violent crime.


  An Economic Analysis of the Mafia
This paper reviews the current economic thinking on the Mafia phenomenon and distinguishes the Mafia from ordinary criminal gangs by the desire of the exclusive right to commit criminal acts.



  Weapons Exports - The Bogus Moral Dilemma
Samuel Brittan argues that "unaffordable" ethical arms exports arise from a failure to understand the circular flow of income, the fallacy of a "lump of labour" and a long discredited mercantilist view of trade.


  Measuring Global Drug Markets
The continuing demand for measures of the size of global drug revenues has produced a supply of numbers that consistently overstate international financial flows. This paper shows that, rather than $500 billion, the annual figure in trade terms may be about $25 billion.




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