World Economics - Insight , Analysis and Data

World Economics - Measuring Global Economic Activity
 

INDEXES

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Name Speed & Direction
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Prices Slow, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Market Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Future Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels Slow, Stable
SMI: Global - Prices Charged Medium, Rising
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing Slow, Stable
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market Medium, Stable
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Americas - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged Medium, Falling
SMI: Americas - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Americas - Market Growth Fast, Stable
SMI: Asia - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - New Sales Fast, Falling
SMI: Asia - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels Medium, Increasing
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged Stable, Rising
GMI: Americas - Marketing Index Medium, Increasing
GMI: Asia Pacific - Marketing Index Medium, Increasing
GMI: European - Marketing Index Medium, Increasing
GMI: Global - Marketing Index Medium, Increasing
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets Slow, Falling
GMI: Global - Trading conditions Medium, Increasing
GMI: Global - Staffing Medium, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - SMI Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - New Sales Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - Prices Charged Medium, Rising
SMI: Philippines - Market Growth Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - Staffing Levels Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - Confidence Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - Staffing Levels Stable, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Business Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Market Growth Fast, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - SMI Fast, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Business Confidence Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Prices Charged Medium, Rising
SMI: Nigeria - New Sales Stable, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Staffing Levels Medium, Falling
SMI: India - SMI Fast, Stable
SMI: India - Market Growth Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: India - Business Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Staffing Levels Fast, Increasing
SMI: India - New Sales Very Fast, Falling
SMI: LatAm - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Prices Charged Fast, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Staffing Levels Stable, Falling
SMI: LatAm - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Business Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - SMI Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales Rapid, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels Rapid, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged Moderate, Falling
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Africa - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: Africa - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Africa - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Business Confidence Medium, Falling
SMI: China - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: USA - SMI Fast, Increasing
SMI: USA - Market Growth Fast, Increasing
SMI: USA - Business Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels Medium, Increasing
SMI: USA - Prices Charged Medium, Rising
SMI: USA - New Sales Medium, Increasing
GPI: Global - Gas Price Index Rising
GPI: United States Rising
GPI: China Falling
GPI: Japan Falling
GPI: India Rising
GPI: Germany Rising
GPI: United Kingdom Stable
GPI: Russia Falling
GPI: France Rising
GPI: Brazil Rising
GPI: Italy Rising
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index Rising
HPI: United States Falling
HPI: China Falling
HPI: Japan Rising
HPI: India Falling
HPI: Germany Rising
HPI: United Kingdom Falling
HPI: Russia Rising
HPI: France Falling
HPI: Brazil Falling
HPI: Italy Falling
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index Rising
CFPI: United States Falling
CFPI: China Rising
CFPI: Japan Rising
CFPI: India Falling
CFPI: Germany Rising
CFPI: United Kingdom Rising
CFPI: Russia Rising
CFPI: France Rising
CFPI: Brazil Rising
CFPI: Italy Falling
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index Rising
DPI: United States Falling
DPI: China Rising
DPI: Japan Falling
DPI: India Rising
DPI: Germany Rising
DPI: United Kingdom Rising
DPI: Russia Rising
DPI: France Falling
DPI: Brazil Rising
DPI: Italy Falling
WPI: China Stable
WPI: Japan Rising
WPI: India Stable
WPI: Germany Rising
WPI: United Kingdom Stable
WPI: Russia Stable
WPI: Brazil Rising
WPI: Italy Stable
WPI: Argentina Rising
WPI: Mexico Rising
WPI: South Korea Rising
WPI: Canada Stable
WPI: France Rising
WPI: Spain Stable
WPI: Turkey Falling
FPI: Global - Food Price Index Rising
FPI: United States Falling
FPI: China Falling
FPI: Japan Rising
FPI: India Rising
FPI: Germany Rising
FPI: United Kingdom Rising
FPI: Russia Rising
FPI: France Rising
FPI: Brazil Rising
FPI: Italy Falling
SMI: NAFTA - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - SMI Medium, Stable
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged Medium, Rising
SMI: Americas - Market Growth Fast, Falling
SMI: Americas - New Sales Medium, Increasing
SMI: Asia - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged Stable, Falling
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Asia - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: Asia - New Sales Fast, Falling
SMI: Global - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Market Growth Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Future Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Global - New Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Prices Charged Slow, Rising
SMI: Global - Man - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Prices Slow, Stable
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Sales Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Man - Market Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market Medium, Increasing

Global Sales Managers' Indexes

Global Sales Managers' Index

  March 2015
Global All-Sector SMI
The March Index value of 58.0 was down slightly on its value registered in February by 0.4.

Global Manufacturing Sales Managers' Index
  March 2015
Global Manufacturing Sector SMI
The World Economics Global Manufacturing Sales Managers’ Index is the earliest economic activity report covering manufacturers in 70 countries worldwide.
Global Services Sales Managers' Index

  March 2015
Global Services Sector SMI
The Index registered a value of 58.3 in March, slightly down on February’s 58.5 figure. Panellists indicate that the global services sector continues to exhibit solid economic activity but is experiencing a slightly declining trend.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Country

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: China


  MARCH 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: China
The China Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout China. The earliest source of understanding about what’s really happening in the China.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: India


  March 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: India
The Index signals that the Indian economy has been gaining momentum over the eighteen year. The Index remained stable at 68.2 in March, no change from February. This indicates that the economy is growing at a strong and steady pace.             
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico


  march 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that the Mexican economy grew marginally in March with the rate of growth experiencing a small increase.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia


  March 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia
The March Headline Index value of 33.9 indicates that the economy continues to contract but at a slightly slower rate with business confidence exhibiting a slight improvement on previous months.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria


  march 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria
The only available monthly economic indicator which covers all sectors of the Nigerian economy. The Indexes taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Nigeria was strong and broad based in March 2015.

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines


  march 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Philippines has been very strong. The headline SMI at 83.0 is congruent with strong development. 
 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: United States


  March 2015
The Sales Managers' Index: United States
The SMI Headline Index registered a value of 60.4 in March, up 0.8 from its value in February. Sector analysis shows that the manufacturing sector was up by 0.3 as services also increased by 0.8.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Region

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Africa

  March 2015
Africa
The SMI registered 57.3 in March, down 0.1 from February. Business Confidence improved after its recent dip along with improving staffing levels. 
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Americas
  MARCH 2015
Americas
This Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout the entire continent of The Americas to produce the earliest and only source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the continents.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Asia

  March 2015
Asia
Confidence among Sales Managers remains strong; meaning business conditions are to remain positive in the coming months for economic development.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Growth Continents

  FEBRUARY 2015
Growth Continents
The Headline Index is designed to reflect overall economic growth, bringing together the average movement of Confidence, Market Expansion, Product Sales, Prices Charged and the Staffing Indices.
The Sales Managers' Index: Latin America

  March 2015
Latin America 
The Index registered 52.4 in March, down 1.9 from February, indicating that economic activity in the region continues to grow at a moderate pace compared to previous months albeit at an increasingly slower rate.  
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: NAFTA

  FEBRUARY 2015
NAFTA
The composite NAFTA Sales Managers’ Index is the best source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the entire trading bloc.

The Sales Managers' Index Archive


  March 2015
All Countries and Regions
The full archive of Sales Managers' Indexes cover: Africa, Americas, Asia, Growth Continents, Latin America, NAFTA along with the United States, China, India and Mongolia. 




Global Price Indexes

The World Price Index

  March 2015
World Price Index
The WPI provides a monthly index of PPP exchange rates against the US Dollar across the world’s 15 largest economies.
Food Price Index

  MARCH 2015
Food Price Index
The World Economics Food Price Index (FPI) is based on average end-user prices for a typical basket of grocery items in national currencies
Durable Goods Price Index

  March 2015
Durable Goods Price Index
Price Index for durable goods. e.g. Kettles and homeware.
Gasoline Price Index

  March 2015
Gasoline Price Index
Analysis of the average end-user prices for RON-95 Petrol in indexed from national currencies.
Hospitality Goods Price Index

  March 2015
Hospitality Goods Price Index
Hospitality service prices for the 15 top global economies in comparable index form.
Cost of Fun Price Index

  March 2015
Cost of Fun Price Index
The cost of recreational goods and services from Golf Clubs, iPads, music downloads to holiday flights.

Growth Trackers

Global Growth Tracker   annual update: 2014
World Economics research shows that the global economy grew for 51 out of the past 52 years. The World Economy grew at 3.8% per year between 1961-2013.
China   march 2015
Leading indicators signalled strong economic growth, with the Li Keqiang Index rising to 158 in January. Total exports, however, registered a year-on-year fall of 3.3% in January compared to 9.7% in December.
Commonwealth    May 2013
The World Economics Commonwealth Growth Monitor contrasts the accelerating economic growth of the Commonwealth, with the 5 decade long decline in the rate of growth of the EU.
Eurozone    MARCH 2015
Eurozone GDP rose by 0.8%  in the third quarter of 2014, unchanged from the previous quarter. Retail sales registered a year-on-year increase of 3.2% in January, compared to 3.1% in December and leading indicators signalled an ongoing weakness in economic activity, with the OECD CLI at 100.6 in December.
India    MARCH 2015
The Indian economy grew at an annual pace of 7.5% in Q4 2014 compared to 8.2% in Q3 2014. Domestic demand continued to rise, with car sales registering a year-on-year rise of 3.14% in January. 
United States    MARCH 2015
U.S. GDP increased at an annualised rate of 2.2% in Q4 2014, compared to 5% in Q3 2014. Composite indicators indicated strong economic growth, with the SMI up by 1.1 to 59.6 in February while consumer confidence remained high, with year-on-year retail sales up by 1.7% in January.

Release Schedule

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Spotlight: When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


When to Buy and When to Sell Equities?


Spotlight: Growing US trade imbalance with China


Growing US trade imbalance with China


Spotlight: The UK Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)

Spotlight: Eurozone Inflation (1997 – 2015)


The Bank Rate (1694 – 2014)




Classic Papers from the Archive



  What do Economists Know?
Economists can be confident about quite a lot of what they do think they know, even when they are disbelieved by large parts of the public not to mention political leaders and policy makers. Sir Alan Budd revisits some fundamentals.


  How to Tackle Poverty
This article argues that, beyond the headline-grabbing generalities, development economists are building up a detailed body of empirical evidence specific to individual countries which will shape more effective policy interventions in the years ahead.


  The Economics of Epidemics
An analysis of the economic implications of the Great Plague in the fourteenth century, the 1918–19 influenza epidemic, the HIV/AIDS curse and SARS to demonstrate the short- and long-term effects of different kinds of epidemics.


  The Value of Vaccination
Despite advances during the twentieth century, immunization coverage is far from universal and faces significant obstacles in both developing and developed countries. The paper shows that the economic effects via improved health - have been underestimated, thereby causing the rate of return to be underestimated.



  How Many Wildebeest do You Need?
A close look at the Wildlife Act, by pandering to the welfare lobby, the act removes all remaining incentives for communities and landowners to keep wildlife on their land.


  The Economics of Copyright
A review of the economic issues behind copyright and how these are challenged by changes in technology and market structure


  The Case for Narrow Banking
The paper argues that regulatory reform should emphasise systemic resilience and robustness, not more detailed behaviour prescription.
 


  The Costs of Violent Crime
A review of a number of studies that have sought to estimate the economic costs of criminal offending and, more specifically, violent crime.


  An Economic Analysis of the Mafia
This paper reviews the current economic thinking on the Mafia phenomenon and distinguishes the Mafia from ordinary criminal gangs by the desire of the exclusive right to commit criminal acts.



  Weapons Exports - The Bogus Moral Dilemma
Samuel Brittan argues that "unaffordable" ethical arms exports arise from a failure to understand the circular flow of income, the fallacy of a "lump of labour" and a long discredited mercantilist view of trade.


  Measuring Global Drug Markets
The continuing demand for measures of the size of global drug revenues has produced a supply of numbers that consistently overstate international financial flows. This paper shows that, rather than $500 billion, the annual figure in trade terms may be about $25 billion.




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