World Economics - Insight , Analysis and Data

World Economics - The first measures of global growth every month
 

Release Schedule

Date / Time (UTC) Release
08 Aug 07:00 WPI: Food Price Index
09 Aug 07:00 WPI: World Price Index
10 Aug 07:00 WPI: Durable Goods Price Index
11 Aug 07:00 WPI: Cost of Fun Price Index
12 Aug 07:00 WPI: Hospitality Price Index
15 Aug 07:00 WPI: Gasoline Price Index
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: Mongolia
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: China
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: United States
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: Mexico
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: South Africa
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: Philippines
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: Africa
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: Latin America
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: Nigeria
16 Aug 11:00 SMI: India
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: Global All-Sector
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: Global Services
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: Global Manufacturing
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: Asia
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: Americas
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: Growth Continents
22 Aug 12:00 SMI: NAFTA
27 Aug 07:00 GMI: Global Marketing Index

> View the full diary of release dates

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Country

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: United States


  JULY 2016
United States
The SMI Headline Index registered a value of 50.8 in July, down from the value in June. Business Confidence continued to ease and is now contracting while sales growth remained stable.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: China


  JULY 2016
China
The China Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout China. The earliest source of understanding about what’s really happening in the China.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: India


  JULY 2016
India
The Index signals that Indian economic activity remains very strong in July. The Index continued at a very high level of 69.8, up marginally from June. July saw slight signs of deflation after the recent period of mild inflation.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mongolia

  JULY 2016
Mongolia
The July Headline Index value of 43.3 indicates that the economy continues to contract but at a slower rate with the business confidence index now close to breaking through the 50 line which separates growth from contraction.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Nigeria


  JULY 2016
Nigeria
The only available monthly economic indicator which covers all sectors of the Nigerian economy. The SMI reported that Nigeria has continues in a period of recession with high levels of price inflation evident.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: South Africa

  JULY 2016
South Africa
The SMI decreased further in July after an eighth month increasing trend came to a halt in April. Sales growth contracted in July with staffing levels also contracting but at a faster pace.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Mexico


  JULY 2016
Mexico
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, shows that the Mexican economy contracted again in July with a headline SMI of 48.1, from 48.3 in June.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Philippines


  JULY 2016
Philippines
The Sales Managers’ Indexes, taken as a whole, show that economic growth in Philippines has been very strong. The headline SMI at 80.1 is congruent with strong rates of economic growth. 

Global Sales Managers Indexes

Global Sales Managers' Index

  JULY 2016
Global All-Sector SMI
The July Index value of 52.4 was down slightly on its value registered in June by 0.3 indicating a slight reduction in global economic growth.

Global Manufacturing Sales Managers' Index
  JULY 2016
Global Manufacturing Sector SMI
The World Economics Global Manufacturing Sales Managers’ Index is the earliest economic activity report covering manufacturers in 70 countries worldwide.
Global Services Sales Managers' Index

  JULY 2016
Global Services Sector SMI
The Index registered a value of 53.2 in July, down on the June figure. Panellists indicate that the global services sector continues to exhibit economic growth but has experienced a prolonged declining trend which may have now come to an end and stabalising in a low growth scenario.

Sales Managers' Indexes - By Region

New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Africa

  JULY 2016
Africa
The SMI registered 51.4 in July, up 0.3 from it's June level. Business Confidence continued at a high level, monthly sales declined and inflation continued to moderate. 
The Sales Managers' Index: Latin America

  JULY 2016
Latin America 
The SMI registered 45.0 in July indicating that economic activity in the region is continuing in recession. Business confidence continues to be weak and monthly product sales registered further negative growth.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Americas
  JULY 2016
Americas
This Index brings together the collective wisdom of Sales Managers throughout the entire continent of The Americas to produce the earliest and only source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the continents.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Asia

  JULY 2016
Asia
Confidence among Sales Managers grew and remains solid; meaning business conditions are to remain positive in the coming months. The declining trend lead by China appears to have come to an end and India is continuing to grow rapidly.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: Growth Continents

  JULY 2016
Growth Continents
The Headline Index is designed to reflect overall economic growth, bringing together the average movement of Confidence, Market Expansion, Product Sales, Prices Charged and the Staffing Indices.
New from World Economics: The Sales Managers' Index: NAFTA

  JULY 2016
NAFTA
The composite NAFTA Sales Managers’ Index is the best source of understanding about what’s really happening throughout the entire trading bloc.

The Sales Managers' Index Archive


  JULY 2016
All Countries and Regions
The full archive of Sales Managers' Indexes cover: Africa, Americas, Asia, Growth Continents, Latin America, NAFTA along with the United States, China, India and Mongolia. 





Global Marketing Index

Global Marketing Index


  JuLY 2016
Global Marketing Index
The Global Marketing Budgets Index turned negative in July as marketing budgets declined in the Americas and in the Asia-Pacific regions. Spending grew marginally in Europe, but the index fell dramatically from its June level reflecting the uncertainty caused by the Brexit vote.

Growth Trackers

United States  Growth Tracker


  JULY 2016
United States
US. GDP rose at an annualised rate of 1.1% in Q1 2016, compared to 0.6% in Q1 2015. Data from the U.S. Labour Department showed that 145,239 jobs were added in June.
China Growth Tracker


  JULY 2016
China
China’s official data show GDP grew at annual rate of 6.7% in Q2 2016. Total Retail Sales increased 10.0% year-on-year in June and the Li Keqiang Index for April signalled a solid year-on-year increase in economic growth following the long slowdown.
India Growth Tracker


  JULY 2016
India
Leading indicators showed faster growth, with the SMI at 69.3 in June up from May. Steel production in India improved from April to 8044 thousand metric tons, growing 4.4% YnY
Global Growth Tracker


  ANNUAL UPDATE: 2016
Global Growth Tracker
World Economics research shows that the global economy grew for 54 out of the past 55 years. The World Economy grew at 3.8% per year between 1961-2015.
Eurozone Growth Tracker


  JuLY 2016
Eurozone
Euro area economy grew at annual rate of 1.7% in Q1 2016, compared to 1.3% in the same quarter last year. Total EU19 unemployment stood at 16.27 million in May, Youth unemployment of 2.89 million.
Commonwealth Growth Tracker


  March 2016
Commonwealth
The World Economics Commonwealth Growth Monitor contrasts the accelerating economic growth of the Commonwealth, with the 5 decade long decline in the rate of growth of the EU.

Latest Index Data Trends

Sort by:

Name Speed & Direction      
GMI: Global - Marketing Index Slow, Falling
GMI: European - Marketing Index Medium, Falling
GMI: Asia Pacific - Marketing Index Slow, Stable
GMI: Americas - Marketing Index Slow, Falling
GMI: Global - Trading conditions Medium, Falling
GMI: Global - Marketing budgets Slow, Falling
GMI: Global - Staffing Medium, Falling
SMI: USA - SMI Stable, Falling
SMI: USA - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: USA - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: USA - Prices Charged Stable, Falling
SMI: USA - Business Confidence Stable, Falling
SMI: USA - New Sales Slow, Stable
SMI: China - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - Staffing Levels Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: China - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Business Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: China - Prices Charged Stable, Stable
SMI: India - SMI Fast, Increasing
SMI: India - Market Growth Medium, Falling
SMI: India - Prices Charged Stable, Falling
SMI: India - Staffing Levels Fast, Falling
SMI: India - Business Confidence Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: India - New Sales Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - SMI Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Staffing Levels Rapid, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Prices Charged Moderate, Rising
SMI: Mongolia - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Future Confidence Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Mongolia - Market Growth Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Africa - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Africa - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: Africa - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Africa - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Africa - Business Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - SMI Slow, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Market Growth Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Business Confidence Fast, Falling
SMI: Nigeria - Staffing Levels Moderate, Increasing
SMI: Nigeria - Prices Charged Fast, Rising
SMI: Nigeria - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - SMI Stable, Falling
SMI: South Africa - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: South Africa - Business Confidence Stable, Falling
SMI: South Africa - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: South Africa - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: South Africa - New Sales Slow, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Business Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: Mexico - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Staffing Levels Stable, Falling
SMI: Mexico - Market Growth Slow, Increasing
SMI: Mexico - Prices Charged Stable, Rising
SMI: LatAm - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Staffing Levels Moderate, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Market Growth Moderate, Falling
SMI: LatAm - New Sales Moderate, Falling
SMI: LatAm - Business Confidence Slow, Increasing
SMI: LatAm - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Philippines - SMI Very Fast, Stable
SMI: Philippines - Market Growth Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - Confidence Very Fast, Falling
SMI: Philippines - Staffing Levels Very Fast, Increasing
SMI: Philippines - New Sales Very Fast, Stable
SMI: Philippines - Prices Charged Fast, Rising
SMI: Global - Man - SMI Stable, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Prices Slow, Stable
SMI: Global - Man - Staffing Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Man - Market Stable, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Staffing Stable, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Confidence Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Sales Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Market Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Non-Man - Prices Stable, Falling
SMI: Global - SMI Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - New Sales Medium, Increasing
SMI: Global - Future Confidence Medium, Falling
SMI: Global - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: Global - Prices Charged Slow, Falling
SMI: Asia - SMI Medium, Increasing
SMI: Asia - Future Confidence Fast, Increasing
SMI: Asia - New Sales Fast, Increasing
SMI: Asia - Prices Charged Stable, Stable
SMI: Asia - Market Growth Slow, Stable
SMI: Asia - Staffing Levels Medium, Falling
SMI: Americas - SMI Stable, Falling
SMI: Americas - Future Confidence Slow, Falling
SMI: Americas - Prices Charged Stable, Falling
SMI: Americas - Staffing Levels Slow, Stable
SMI: Americas - Market Growth Stable, Falling
SMI: Americas - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - SMI Slow, Stable
SMI: Growth Conts. - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - New Sales Medium, Increasing
SMI: Growth Conts. - Confidence Medium, Increasing
SMI: Growth Conts. - Market Growth Slow, Falling
SMI: Growth Conts. - Prices Charged Stable, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - SMI Stable, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Future Confidence Stable, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - New Sales Slow, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Staffing Levels Slow, Falling
SMI: NAFTA - Prices Charged Stable, Rising
SMI: NAFTA - Market Growth Slow, Falling
GPI: Global - Gas Price Index Falling
GPI: United States Falling
GPI: China Rising
GPI: Japan Rising
GPI: India Falling
GPI: Germany Rising
GPI: United Kingdom Rising
GPI: Russia Rising
GPI: France Falling
GPI: Brazil Falling
GPI: Italy Rising
HPI: Global - Hospitality Index Falling
HPI: United States Rising
HPI: China Falling
HPI: Japan Falling
HPI: India Falling
HPI: Germany Falling
HPI: United Kingdom Falling
HPI: Russia Rising
HPI: France Falling
HPI: Brazil Rising
HPI: Italy Falling
CFPI: Global - Cost of Fun Index Falling
CFPI: United States Falling
CFPI: China Falling
CFPI: Japan Falling
CFPI: India Rising
CFPI: Germany Falling
CFPI: United Kingdom Rising
CFPI: Russia Rising
CFPI: France Falling
CFPI: Brazil Falling
CFPI: Italy Falling
DPI: Global - Durables Price Index Falling
DPI: United States Rising
DPI: China Rising
DPI: Japan Rising
DPI: India Falling
DPI: Germany Falling
DPI: United Kingdom Falling
DPI: Russia Rising
DPI: France Rising
DPI: Brazil Falling
DPI: Italy Rising
WPI: China Stable
WPI: Japan Falling
WPI: India Stable
WPI: Germany Falling
WPI: United Kingdom Stable
WPI: Russia Stable
WPI: Brazil Stable
WPI: Italy Stable
WPI: Argentina Rising
WPI: Mexico Rising
WPI: South Korea Falling
WPI: Canada Stable
WPI: France Falling
WPI: Spain Stable
WPI: Turkey Stable
FPI: Global - Food Price Index Rising
FPI: United States Falling
FPI: China Rising
FPI: Japan Rising
FPI: India Falling
FPI: Germany Rising
FPI: United Kingdom Falling
FPI: Russia Rising
FPI: France Rising
FPI: Brazil Rising
FPI: Italy Rising














































Global GDP Data

Data Quality Index

  Data Quality Index
The data quality index is designed to review the accuracy of GDP data worldwide. Most GDP data is flawed to an extent few realise. See just how misleading GDP data can be here.
Historical GDP Database

  Global GDP Database
Download the world’s most comprehensive GDP database. Covering over 130 countries with historical GDP PPP data from 1870-2014.

Global Price Indexes

The World Price Index

  JULY 2016
World Price Index
The WPI provides a monthly index of PPP exchange rates against the US Dollar across the world’s 15 largest economies.
Food Price Index

  July 2016
Food Price Index
The World Economics Food Price Index (FPI) is based on average end-user prices for a typical basket of grocery items in national currencies
Durable Goods Price Index

  JULY 2016
Durable Goods Price Index
Price Index for durable goods. e.g. Kettles and homeware.
Gasoline Price Index

  JULY 2016
Gasoline / Petrol Price Index
Analysis of the average end-user prices for RON-95 Petrol in indexed from national currencies.
Hospitality Goods Price Index

  JULY 2016
Hospitality Goods Price Index
Hospitality service prices for the 15 top global economies in comparable index form.
Cost of Fun Price Index

  JULY 2016
Cost of Fun Price Index
The cost of recreational goods and services from Golf Clubs, iPads, music downloads to holiday flights.

Recent Papers

New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in North and South America


  MARCH 2016
Measuring GDP in North and South America
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Asia


  MARCH 2016
Measuring GDP in Asia
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Africa


  MARCH 2016
Measuring GDP in Africa
New on World Economics: Global Growth Tracker


  MARCH 2016
Global Growth Tracker
New on World Economics: Measuring GDP in Europe


  SEPTEMBER 2015
Measuring GDP in Europe
New on World Economics: How Errors in Seasonal Adjustment Factors for US GDP contributes to misleading National Accounts Data


  JULY 2015
How Errors in Seasonal Adjustment Factors for US GDP contributes to misleading National Accounts Data
New on World Economics: Sterling is the most debased currency


  MARCH 2015
Sterling is the most debased currency
New on World Economics: Tanzania’s GDP grows 31.4 percent after rebasing


  FEBRUARY 2015
Tanzania’s GDP grows 31.4 percent after rebasing
New on World Economics: Argentina’s Inflation Data Problems


  FEBRUARY 2014
Argentina’s Inflation Data Problems
New on World Economics: Measuring Argentina's GDP: Myths And Facts


  JANUARY 2014
Measuring Argentina's GDP: Myths And Facts
New on World Economics: China Becomes the Worlds largest Economy in 2013


  DECEMBER 2013
China Becomes the Worlds largest Economy in 2013
New on World Economics: How to create a British Sovereign Wealth Fund


  NOVEMBER 2013
How to create a British Sovereign Wealth Fund
New on World Economics: Understanding Commercial Property Price Indexes


  OCTOBER 2013
Understanding Commercial Property Price Indexes
New on World Economics: The Need to Improve Global Real Estate Data


  SEPTEMBER 2013
The Need to Improve Global Real Estate Data
New on World Economics: The Nutella Tax: patronising, protectionist and promoting poverty


  SEPTEMBER 2013
The Nutella Tax: patronising, protectionist and promoting poverty
New on World Economics: Emerging Market Economic Data Cannot be Trusted


  AUGUST 2013
Emerging Market Economic Data Cannot be Trusted
New on World Economics: Demystifying Youth Unemployment


  AUGUST 2013
Demystifying Youth Unemployment




Classic Papers from the Archive



  What do Economists Know?
Economists can be confident about quite a lot of what they do think they know, even when they are disbelieved by large parts of the public not to mention political leaders and policy makers. Sir Alan Budd revisits some fundamentals.


  How to Tackle Poverty
This article argues that, beyond the headline-grabbing generalities, development economists are building up a detailed body of empirical evidence specific to individual countries which will shape more effective policy interventions in the years ahead.


  The Economics of Epidemics
An analysis of the economic implications of the Great Plague in the fourteenth century, the 1918–19 influenza epidemic, the HIV/AIDS curse and SARS to demonstrate the short- and long-term effects of different kinds of epidemics.


  The Value of Vaccination
Despite advances during the twentieth century, immunization coverage is far from universal and faces significant obstacles in both developing and developed countries. The paper shows that the economic effects via improved health - have been underestimated, thereby causing the rate of return to be underestimated.



  How Many Wildebeest do You Need?
A close look at the Wildlife Act, by pandering to the welfare lobby, the act removes all remaining incentives for communities and landowners to keep wildlife on their land.


  The Economics of Copyright
A review of the economic issues behind copyright and how these are challenged by changes in technology and market structure


  The Case for Narrow Banking
The paper argues that regulatory reform should emphasise systemic resilience and robustness, not more detailed behaviour prescription.
 


  The Costs of Violent Crime
A review of a number of studies that have sought to estimate the economic costs of criminal offending and, more specifically, violent crime.


  An Economic Analysis of the Mafia
This paper reviews the current economic thinking on the Mafia phenomenon and distinguishes the Mafia from ordinary criminal gangs by the desire of the exclusive right to commit criminal acts.



  Weapons Exports - The Bogus Moral Dilemma
Samuel Brittan argues that "unaffordable" ethical arms exports arise from a failure to understand the circular flow of income, the fallacy of a "lump of labour" and a long discredited mercantilist view of trade.


  Measuring Global Drug Markets
The continuing demand for measures of the size of global drug revenues has produced a supply of numbers that consistently overstate international financial flows. This paper shows that, rather than $500 billion, the annual figure in trade terms may be about $25 billion.




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