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Thought for the day
What Percent of Your Portfolio Should be Asian?
A review of Asian Governance Ratings
Last updated: 6 September 2024
Asian GDP is bigger than that of Europe, the Americas and Africa combined. Asia accounts for well over half of global GDP. And Asian GDP growth has accounted for almost 70% of global growth over the past decade. So, shouldn't Asia comprise 50%+ of your investments by value?
Probably not. The problem with Asia is that this vast geographical space (however defined) includes many countries you probably wouldn't want to live in, and on whose data, you cannot rely, This Thought reviews the role of Governance in deciding which parts of Asia are relatively safe places in which to invest. World Economics defines Governance using 4 Indexes: Rule of Law; Press Freedom; Political Rights; and Corruption.
Asian Country Governance Ratings
Ranked by governance rating group and country name. A= Very good, E= Very poor
Data source: World Economics
Note: World Economics measures GDP in GDP Purchasing Power Parity terms, with added estimates for the size of the Informal economy, and adjustments for outdated GDP base years
Unfortunately, 59% of countries feature in the D and E columns. Any country with E rated Governance is likely to be an unreliable place in which to invest, and a D Rating should give serious pause for thought (for more on this subject see
Places for Investors to Avoid
).
Tomorrow's Thought adds further insight on Asian countries to avoid, by analysing Asian GDP Data Quality Ratings. On the third day of this series, we bring both Governance and Data Quality Ratings Indexes together to review which Asian countries remain as candidates for serious investment, after removing those with poor Governance and Data Quality problems.
More for subscribers:
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More perspectives using World Economics data
How Good is Governance Around the World?
To help investors asses risk in relation to Governance, World Economics produces a continuously revised global Index, to bring together crucial aspects of Governance that collectively measure countries in relation to rule of law, press freedom, political rights, and corruption. Europe leads the way with 87% of countries attaining Good (as rated A or B) levels of Governance. At the opposite end of the ...
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Difficult to Imagine China Twice the Size of the USA?
Chinese GDP will be more than double that of the US in under a decade, if recent growth rates persist. Economic activity in China is almost certainly already approximately 33% larger than in the USA. Few investment portfolios, business plans or government calculations reflect the large and growing dominance of Chinese economic activity, mostly because of the inappropriate use of market prices to asse...
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Indian GDP Growth Leaves Pakistan Far Behind
Comparing the economic performance of India and Pakistan is not so easy, as neither country excels in the production of reliable GDP data. Indian GDP data is rated C grade by World Economics, which theoretically makes the numbers believable. Pakistan clearly lags with D Grade GDP data. However Indian data is classified as at the bottom of the C grated countries, and Pakistan not so far from the to...
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