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Thought of the Day
South Korea at the Forefront of the Global Aging Crisis
21 June 2025
Decades of falling fertility are causing the working-age population of South Korea to fall. Simultaneously, retirees are living longer and forming an ever-larger portion of the population. These factors are causing an extraordinary decline in the number of working-age people available to support the expanding number of retirees.
Number of Working-Age People to each Dependent (65+) in South Korea
The working-age population represents those aged 15 to 64. Period: 1950-2050.
In 1950, there were nearly 20 people of working age supporting each retiree. By 2050, there will be less than 2. Furthermore, the fast-expanding 65+, mostly-retired cohort cost Governments of rich countries more than the equivalent number of workers, due to unfunded pension, medical and old-age-care costs (3 time seems a minimum). Adding to this already nightmarish equation is the fact that only about 80% of the working-age population has a job due to unemployment, illness, etc. Therefore, these figures overstate the number of workers available to support retirees today. Consequently, an unprecedented and unsustainable tax burden is emerging in South Korea.
More for subscribers:
The Alarming Cost of Aging Demographics
The Aging Problem Facing All OECD Countries
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More perspectives using World Economics data
US Economy Heading Into Recession
The US Sales Managers Survey results for June look bleak. They reflect the chaos produced by the erratic economic policy changes seen over the past few months, but now go further and suggest the US economy is tipping into recession. SALES: The Market Growth Index continues its long decline, and in June is now at a 17-month low, a reflection of general conditions faced by sales managers. The Sales G...
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Dangerously Misleading Debt Data
Debt poses a serious problem in most developed countries, and in many developing ones. But statistical omission and obfuscation hide the true problem. Rapidly rising numbers of old age dependants plus unfunded pay-as-you-go social security schemes are already causing unrest. More is likely to follow as state backed promises of medical and old age support become impossible to fulfil. The problem is fa...
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Asia Facing Demographic Adversity
Countries in Asia have historically seen some of the highest fertility rates worldwide. In 1970, South Korea’s rate was more than double the replacement threshold. Today, it is far below that level, meaning that each coming generation will be approximately half as large as the one before it. Similarly, major nations such as China and India have seen dramatic falls to rates which are currently also bel...
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