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Ratings of GDP Accuracy in the Middle East
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World Economics, June 2019
The quality of economic data in the Middle East is very variable. Israel, Turkey and Saudi Arabia publish fair quality data, ranking high by international standards. There are significant quality issues with data produced in Kuwait, Iran and Yemen. And at the extreme end of the scale, data produced in Jordan and Syria is likely to be of little value in describing prevailing economic conditions.
Measuring the Impact of Terror
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Piotr Konwicki, World Economics, March 2018
Events observed in Israel include terror attacks, controversial elections and unexpected wars, the impact of which can be analysed on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange in terms of abnormal returns. Results show that defence and high-tech industries react positively to these events while other industries have a negative reaction. Recent data demonstrate that these events create positive abnormal market reactions when Israel is at war with Palestine and Lebanon because of the high number of defence and high-tech companies listed on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. A phenomenon of the ‘normalisation of terror’ can be observed in the stock exchange, as the market reacted negatively to events in 2002 but has become more resilient to recent events.

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