Thought for the day

Global Growth Prospects for 2024: Looking Positive


 
17 April 2024
 
World economic activity is starting to look rather buoyant when seen through the lens of economic growth in the world's three largest economies (China, the USA and India measured in Purchasing Power Parity terms), which for most of the recent past have collectively contributed close to 60% of global growth.



The Sales Managers Global Business Confidence Index in particular is at a 26 month high with an index reading of 53.2 in March. Business Confidence (or "animal spirits" as the data is sometimes referred to) is crucial to business investment, so the buoyant numbers seen in both February and March are consistent with expectations of significant growth in 2024. In addition, both the important Market and Sales Growth Indexes are also reflecting growth albeit of a somewhat unspectacular nature.

These data provide reasonable indications that the world may avoid the much predicted global recession in 2024, and enjoy at least moderate economic growth through the year.
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