Japanese Birth Rate to Fall Below Worst Forecasts


 
The birth rate in Japan is estimated to have fallen even further in 2025 than the government’s worst forecasts. Based on data from the first 10 months of 2025, the number of births is likely to have dropped below the 670,000 figure of 2024 (which excludes children born to foreign residents). This would be the lowest level since government records began. This falling birth rate will mean Japan’s Total Fertility Rate (TFR) – the average number of children per woman – will also decline further.

Total Fertility Rate of Japan 2000-2050
World Economics versus UN projections
Japanese Birth Rate to Fall Below Worst Forecasts


Japanese Birth Rate to Fall Below Worst Forecasts




The UN projects a future uptick in the TFR of countries currently with low rates, such as Japan. Yet, with the latest data showing a continued downturn in the number of births, a sudden rise in Japan’s TFR across the next decades seems unlikely. World Economics projects that Japan’s TFR will continue to decline further through the next decades.

More for subscribers:  
See more...Population Fertility Rate Data
See more...Population by Size Data
See more...Population Growth Rates Data
See more...Country Profile: Japan

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