45 Million Projected Fall in Working-Age Population of Russia and Neighbours 2000-2050


 
Russia and many ex-USSR countries are currently facing sharp working-age population contractions. Projections indicate that the 8 countries listed below will lose a combined 45 million individuals aged 15 to 64 between 2000 and 2050. The working-age populations of Moldova and Latvia are projected to halve!

Working-Age Population Decline: 2000-2050
Millions of people and as a percentage

Country

2000

2025

2050

Percentage Decline

(Millions)

(Millions)

(Millions)

(%, 2000-2050)

Moldova

2.8

1.9

1.4

50%

Latvia

1.6

1.2

0.8

50%

Ukraine

34.1

26.2

18.5

46%

Lithuania

2.3

1.8

1.3

43%

Belarus

6.8

5.9

4.3

37%

Estonia

0.9

0.8

0.6

33%

Russia

102.2

93.9

79.1

23%

Georgia

2.8

2.4

2.2

21%

Total

153.5

134.2

108.3

29%

Country

2000

2025

2050

Percentage Decline

(]Millions)

(]Millions)

(]Millions)

(%, 2000-2050)

Moldova

2.8

1.9

1.4

50%

Latvia

1.6

1.2

0.8

50%

Ukraine

34.1

26.2

18.5

46%

Lithuania

2.3

1.8

1.3

43%

Belarus

6.8

5.9

4.3

37%

Estonia

0.9

0.8

0.6

33%

Russia

102.2

93.9

79.1

23%

Georgia

2.8

2.4

2.2

21%

Total

153.5

134.2

108.3

29%
Source: UN World Population Prospects, 2000-2023 median fertility, 2024-2050 low fertility variant; World Economics.




This is a result of persistently low fertility rates in these countries, compounded by the mass emigration of working-age individuals to western Europe. More recently, the invasion of Ukraine has accelerated this massive displacement of working-age people.

More for subscribers:  
See more...See more 'Number of Workers to Each 65+ Dependent data...
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